Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Just hold on there a minute, Senator

MSNBC calls South Carolina for Bush, who now has 87 electoral votes to Kerry's 77.

By the way it is interesting that after a lot of obligatory we-won't-make-the-same-mistakes-as-in-2000 statements, all the networks appearing to be calling the states rather quickly, and doing a lot of ruminating over what it means that some states are too close to call, South Carolina being a great example until a few moments ago. Even predictions of a Kerry landslide aren't predicated on him stealing such die-hard red states; most assume he'll run the table of the swing states.

Several Senate races appear to be close; the Democrats need a net gain of one state to take control if John Kerry wins (because John Edwards, as president of the Senate, would break ties) and a net gain of two seats if Kerry loses. The latter possibility seems unlikely.

1 Comments:

Blogger Ms. K said...

It did seem as though despite their attempts not to repeat the mistakes of 2000, all of the networks made calls about states as soon as they had as little as 3% of the vote in.

I guess they can argue for the statistical validity of looking at a sample and all that, but it kind of seems to just be an American thing to want information REALLY FAST regardless of its accuracy.

3:26 PM

 

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